Thursday, October 24, 2013

Fantasy Football Week 8 - Sneaky Tricks and Tactics

It’s Thursday and we’ve had three days now to either lick are wounds or celebrate in either case it’s time to get back in the saddle as Week 8 kicks off and as you know there are no bad NFL games during the fantasy season as someone always has a player on the board and tonight many will be in play with Cam Newton so there will be reasons to watch. As we move on to the weekend here’s your sneaky tricks and tactics to make sure you come out on top come Tuesday morning: SY SU’S SLEEPER - MIKE JAMES, TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS RB – THE INJURY BUG BIT DOUG MARTIN BAD WITH A TORN LABRUM. IN A LACKLUSTER OFFENSE, MARTIN WAS CARRYING A MAJOR WORKLOAD. IN A YEAR WHERE FANTASY RUNNING BACKS HAVE BEEN UNDERACHEIVING OVERALL, PICK UP JAMES SOLELY FOR THE FACT HE’LL GET A STARTER’S LOAD OF CARRIES, WHICH IS RARE TO FIND ON THE WAIVER WIRE AT THIS POINT OF THE SEASON. HE WON’T OPEN A LOT OF EYES, BUT HE’LL BE FINE FOR AN RB3 OR EVEN FLEX. BAILEY'S BENCH EM - Justin Blackmon WR Jaguars Blackmon has produced pretty well since returning from a suspension, however he faces a very good defense this week, with a tough secondary. Blackmon is the Jaguars best offensive weapon, but with the 49ers back to their old winning ways, with running the ball more and eating up the clock, this will be a tough match up for Blackmon to produce. So, it seems if you have to play Blackmon, hope for Chad Henne to start and for the 49ers to go up big early, so the Jaguars have to pass a bunch. Ben’s Breakout Player – Anquan Boldin WR 49er’s Anquan Boldin is becoming a favorite target this season for Colin Kaepernick and not only on third downs! Boldin has 34 receptions for 495 yards and 2 touchdowns through 7 games this season. Boldin could be in store for a big game this week against a weak jaguars defense that gives up 238 passing yards on average. TOP 5 WRs CALVIN JOHNSON – MEGATRON IS BACK AFTER AN INJURY-PLAGUED 3 WEEKS, RESPONDING WITH 9 CATCHES, 155 YARDS AND TWO TOUCHDOWNS! EXPECT ANOTHER GREAT WEEK FOR JOHNSON AND THE DEEP BALL IN A SHOOTOUT VS. DALLAS DEZ BRYANT – SPEAKING OF DALLAS, DEZ WILL BE THE OTHER HUGE BENEFACTOR IN THE COWBOYS/LIONS MATCHUP. AFTER UNDERPERFORMING THE LAST TWO WEEKS AGAINST POOR DEFENSES, HE’LL GET A TD OR TWO AGAINST THE 6TH WORST FANTASY DEFENSE AGAINST RECEIVERS JORDY NELSON – WITH INJURIES TO RANDALL COBB AND JAMES JONES, AND NOW, JERMICHAEL FINLEY, NELSON IS AARON RODGERS’ ONLY CONSISTENT TARGET IN A PASS-HAPPY OFFENSE AGAINST A VIKINGS DEFENSE THAT HAS ALLOWED THE THIRD-MOST IN PASSING YARDS A.J. GREEN – FROM GREEN BAY TO A.J. GREEN, HE’S BACK AFTER A COLD STREAK OF A MONTH OF SUB-100-YARD GAMES AND NOW AVERAGING 129 YDS AND A TD IN THE LAST TWO WEEKS DEMARYIUS THOMAS – I COULD’VE EASILY PUT ANY OF MANNING’S MERRY MEN (WES WELKER, ERIC DECKER) HERE, BUT THE BRONCOS’ MATCHUP AGAINST THE POOR WASHINGTON DEFENSE BONUS – HARRY DOUGLAS – MATT RYAN’S FILL-IN TARGET IS COMING OFF A CAREER-HIGH 149 YARDS, ALONG WITH A TOUCHDOWN. WITH JULIO JONES OUT FOR THE SEASON AND RODDY WHITE STILL BOTHERED BY INJURIES, RYAN WILL CONTINUE TO TARGET HIS NOW TOP TARGET. ALSO, REGGIE WAYNE OWNERS! GRAB JARRETT BOYKIN NOW! LAST WEEK, JORDY NELSON STRUGGLED, GAINING THE ATTENTION OF CLEVELAND’S DEFENSE, BUT BENEFITTING BOYKIN FOR 103 YARDS AND 1 TD IN HIS 8 CATCHES. TOP 5 TEs ROB GRONKOWSKI – IN HIS FIRST GAME BACK FROM MULTIPLE SURGERIES (BACK, FOREARM), GRONK RETURNED TO BEING TOM BRADY’S MAIN MAN WITH 8 CATCHES AND 114 YARDS – THAT’S LITERALLY HALF OF BRADY’S PASS YARDAGE IN THE GAME! EXPECT THINGS TO GET BETTER AGAINST THE SECOND WORST FANTASY DEFENSE AGAINST TIGHT ENDS, THE MIAMI DOLPHINS JULIUS THOMAS – AS MENTIONED FOR DEMARYIUS THOMAS (SEE ABOVE), ANYBODY THAT’S CATCHING BALLS FROM PEYTON MANNING, ESPECIALLY AGAINST A POROUS DEFENSE, LIKE WASHINGTION, IS HIGH ON MY BOOK. VERNON DAVIS – HE’S BECOME KAEPERNICK’S TOP TARGET FOR THE LAST TWO WEEKS, AVERAGING 100+ YARDS AND A TD IN THE LAST THREE. BY THE WAY, THE JAGUARS’ DEFENSE HAS ALLOWED 5 TDS IN THE LAST 5 WEEKS BONUS – JIMMY GRAHAM – QUESTION MARKS SURROUND FANTASY FOOTBALL’S TOP TIGHT END. AS OF WEDNESDAY, HE DID NOT PRACTICE YET, DESPITE THE BYE WEEK. HE’S LISTED AS QUESTIONABLE, BUT IF HE DOES PLAY, BE WARRY AGAINST THE BILLS DEFENSE THAT’S SECOND BEST IN FANTASY VS. TIGHT ENDS. TO BE SAFE OR TO REPLACE YOUR INJURED TIGHT END, LIKE JERMICHAEL FINLEY, GRAB JORDAN REED, WHO’S BUILT A NEW RELATIONSHIP WITH ROBERT GRIFFIN III, AND PROVING IT WITH 9 CATCHES, 134 YARDS, AND A TD LAST WEEK. TOP 5 RB's 1) Jamaal Charles- Charles is exploding this year and he should continue to produce heavily this week versus the Browns. The Browns defense has been competitive this year, but playing at Kansas City is a difficult task. Charles is the focus of the Chiefs offense and is top five in rushing yards this year. Look for Charles to get his usual total of 15-20 points. 2) Adrian Peterson- Peterson has been a let down for fantasy owners the past two weeks, but only a real jerk would get mad about it, with the passing of AP's son just two weeks ago. I expect and hope for AP to get back mentally and produce at home versus the Packers this week. This is not the same Packers of the last two years. They have injury concerns and vulnerabilities. The Vikings should give the ball to AP a lot and take some of that pressure away from the QB carousel going on in Minnesota. 3) Marshawn Lynch- Lynch and the Seahawks are playing in another prime time game and will be on plenty of rest. Lynch is top five in rushing yards this year so far and Seattle is a heavy run team. With the Rams losing Sam Bradford for the season, the offense will only struggle more and more, which in theory will only give Lynch and the Seahawks offense more opportunities to run and eat up that clock. Lynch looks great for this match up and for weeks to come. 4) LeSean McCoy- Like Charles, McCoy is the center piece of this offense and this weeks match up against the lowly New York Giants, looks good. McCoy leads the NFL in rushing yards and should continue that production at home. Another reason to be pleased about this match up, is because the Eagles top two QBs are banged up and that should funnel the work load towards McCoy. 5) Knowshon Moreno- Cracking my top five list this year for the first time, Knowshon looks to have a great game this week at home versus the Redskins. Knowshon probably should have cracked my list earlier this year, because he has been producing well and is obviously the number one back in Denver. This weeks match up favors everyone on the Broncos, because of how bad the Redskins defense is this year. Party time in Denver Sunday! Bonus: Frank Gore- The 49ers are running the ball again and it makes Gore's fantasy owners proud again. The 49ers will have to travel to sunny Florida and and face a scrappy Jaguars defense, but that should be no problem for the 49ers great offensive line and Gore. Look for the 49ers to continue their offensive production. TOP 5 QB’s Peyton Manning – 237 Fantasy Points! Do I need to say more? Peyton has on average 70 more points this season than any other fantasy player. Denver is playing the Redskins this week, who have giving up 262 passing yards on average this season. Peyton and his stable of weapons should have any easy day. Colin Kaepernick – The San Francisco 49er’s face the Jacksonville Jaguars this week in Jacksonville. Kaepernick and 49er’s are back in midseason form winning 4 in a row, and not showing any signs of slowing down. Kaepernick only threw for 199 yds last week, but he carried the ball 11 times for 68 yds and a touchdown. Tony Romo – I know the Detroit defense has been having a solid season against the pass. Although Andy Dalton had a big game against them throwing for 372 yards with three touchdowns and no picks last week. The Lions have allowed at 274 passing yards in five straight games. This is why I think Romo is a good start this week. Russell Wilson – Russell Wilson is coming of a huge game against Arizona where he threw for 235 passing yards and 3 touchdowns. Wilson is going up against a division rival this week in the Rams, but St. Louis is middle of the road against opposing QB’s this season. Look for Wilson to get some yards on the ground also against the Rams poor run defense. Drew Brees – Brees looks to be back on track after a two game slide, where he threw for under 300 yards per game. This week he faces a tough Buffalo Bills defense that has been looking more average over the last couple of weeks. Andy Dalton threw for 337 yards and 3 touchdowns against them in week 6, so the bills can be vulnerable against a good passing offense. Look for Brees to capitalize on this opportunity! Bonus- RG3 – Griffin is going up against the Denver Broncos that a giving up 319 passing yards on average this season. The Redskins will most likely be playing from behind giving RG3 a lot of opportunity to throw the ball!

Friday, October 18, 2013

Fantasy Football Sneaky Tricks and Tactics for Week 7

Bye(r) Beware Week 7 Normally the bye weeks have some Fantasy Owners pillaging through the waver wires to piece together some skill positions to make up for their lost points and hope they get some strong bench play to bail them out, however this may be one of the lighter weeks for that with just the Saints and Raiders taking a break. Between the two, it’s all about Drew Brees (100% ownership in all leagues) that is the immediate concern. Terrelle Pryor is a second stringer and available in almost 48% of the leagues. Brees spreads the love around too much to start any of the Saints receivers as they always seem to be one or two of them on the grab rack every week. Kenbrell Thompkins and Kenny Stills both got into double digits last week, but barely and they can be easily replaced. Now Denarius Moore has been pretty consistent and is mostly an #2 in most leagues and probably frustrated a lot of owners last week whom probably sat him going against that KC defense only to have him have a pretty good day going for 5/82/1. And how many of you decided to start Benjamin Watson last week over Jimmy Graham? Enough said, this week most of the players getting some R & R won’t be missed, but here’s the waver wire for the rest of us. MOST ADDED PLAYERS MOST DROPPED PLAYERS RK PLAYER, TEAM POS LAST CUR 7-DAY +/-............RK PLAYER, TEAM POS LAST CUR 7-DAY... +/- 1 Joseph Randle, Dal RB 1.4 39.8 +38.4...........1 Julio Jones*, Atl WR 85.0 60.3 -24.7 2 Justin Blackmon, Jac WR 46.1 77.9 +31.8...........2 Joique Bell, Det RB 95.4 84.1 -11.4 3 Nick Foles, Phi QB 2.3 29.8 +27.6...........3 Bernard Pierce, Bal RB 85.6 74.4 -11.2 4 Brandon Jacobs, NYG RB 1.9 28.6 +26.8...........4 Eddie Royal, SD WR 58.1 47.2 -10.9 5 Mason Crosby, GB K 13.7 38.0 +24.2...........5 Randall Cobb*, GB WR 100.0 90.1 -9.9 6 Keenan Allen, SD WR 4.8 28.4 +23.7...........6 Ahmad Bradshaw*, Ind RB 78.1 68.6 -9.5 7 Harry Douglas, Atl WR 5.1 28.4 +23.4...........7 Owen Daniels*, Hou TE 87.6 78.9 -8.8 8 Robbie Gould, Chi K 23.4 37.5 +14.............8 DeAndre Hopkins, Hou WR 68.6 60.4 -8.3 9 Rueben Randle, NYG WR 55.9 67.8 +11.9...........9 Garrett Hartley, NO K 36.1 28.6 -7.6 10 Andre Ellington, Ari RB 7.3 17.9 +10.7...........10 Seb Janikowski, Oak K 70.4 63.4 -7

Thursday, October 10, 2013

Sneaky Tricks and Tactics for Week 6

Ben's Breakout Player - DEMARYIUS THOMAS - WR Denver Broncos Demaryius Thomas already has 4 touchdowns and he should be in good shape against the Jaguars. Jacksonville has been just below-average against opposing wide receivers as far as yardage is concernced, but they've been awful at limiting touchdowns to wideouts. This is a great week to be a owner of Thomas who should be big this week against the weak Jaguars defense. BAILEY'S BENCH EM: Maurice Jones-Drew - RB Jacksonville Jaguars MJD travels to Denver, where he and the Jaguars will most likely be down heavy with in the first half. If you don't have any other better options, MJD can probably get fantasy owners 5-8 points. Monte Ball might be a good replacement, because of how much Denver will be up early, Ball will probably get the load of the carries in the second half. Sy Su Sleeper - Keenan Allen, SD Chargers WR The injuries to Chargers receivers and the re-emergence of Philip Rivers has led to the rise of rookie WR Keenan Allen! In the last two weeks, the Cal product has been targeted 16 times, catching 11 for 195 yards (115 yards in Week 5), and a touchdown. With early season-ending injuries to Malcom Floyd and Danario Alexander, Eddie Royal benefitted with 5 TDs in the first two weeks, but hasn't touched pay dirt since and hasn't caught more than three balls a game. Rivers, who's posted back-to-back 400+ yard performances, has been looking more Keenan's way, so grab him NOW!

Thursday, October 3, 2013

Fantasy Football Week 5

(Bye)r Beware With the Vikings and Steelers coming back from across the pond and getting a week to get over the jet lag that means that many will be without a franchise back for a week as Adrian Peterson will be out for the week, and is the featured back in 100% of the leagues. Even more players will be disarmed this week and Big Ben will also be on the sidelines after a week abroad, a starting quarterback in 75% of the leagues, as will RG3 (whom may have needed the week off to get back on track) but was also taken in 100% of the leagues so many will be looking for the next Bryan Hoyer that can picked up on the wavier wire. If you want a sneaky tip, start Eli Manning if you have him or pick him up off the scrap pile as many have given up on him (available in 44% of leagues) as he has thrown 13 Touchdown passes vs. 2 interceptions in 4 home games versus the Eagles and the Eagles have allowed an average of 23 fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. Phillip Rivers should also have a good game against the Raiders if you’re questioning weather or not to give him the start. Ben's Breakout Player- Dez Bryant WR , Dallas Cowboys This weeks Breakout Player is WR Dez Bryant of the Cowboys. Bryant goes up against the a Denver Broncos defense that is allowing 316 passing yards on average to opponents this season, so you can expect Bryant to come away with the majority of those yards. Coming off a disappointing loss last week to the Chargers where he had six catches for 81 yards and two touchdowns on nine targets, Dez will look to continue his touchdown streak! Sy Su's Sleeper: Justin Blackmon, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars Some of you may say "Who?" especially since he has literally done nothing this season since he's been serving a drug suspension for the first four weeks--but I am high (no pun intended) on the return of second-year receiver Justin Blackmon of the Jaguars. In his rookie campaign, the first-rounder caught 64 passes for 865 yards with four touchdowns, including an especially impressive final month that featured at least six catches and 80 yards per game with two total TDs. Don't get too excited, yet! This success is credit to QB Chad Henne, who is now designated as backup to Blaine Gabbert, despite Gabbert throwing FIVE interceptions and ZERO scores on the year. Blackmon is a must-pickup this week but don't start him with these low expectations until Henne is once again named the starter. With Henne, Blackmon has the potential to be as good a WR2 for your roster but till the change, keep him on your bench as a WR4 or FLEX, if needed. Bailey's Bench 'Em: Ray Rice & CJ Spiller. Rice only gained 17 total yards last week and was a little dinged up. The addition of Eugene Munroe at tackle will help, but not in a matter of days. Spiller has only rushed for over 78yds once & still hasn't scored a TD this season. Enough said for both top ten fantasy draft picks that have been frustrating fantasy owners.

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