Saturday, December 25, 2010

Positions to consider for all Super Bowl participants

Running Backs –
Avoid – Ray Rice/Ravens – Despite the fact that RR has put up some huge Fantasy numbers over the last two weeks this week doesn’t match up well for him as the Browns are a tough out at home (ask New England) and will be looking to salvage something of their season with wins to close out the year while building some mo’ for next year.
Wild Cards - Arian Foster/Houston – who knows how healthy this guy really is? If he can go, and go at even 75% he should tear up a Bronco defense that is 23rd in the league against the rush and has nothing to play for. Look for him to get 20-plus carries and get into the zone at least twice which means he is a solid RB1 or 2 this weekend.
Darren McFadden /Raiders the problem isn’t injuries here as much as it the fact that he has been sharing time and he’s not the guy that’s going to get the rock inside the 5-yard line so he may get the yards for you but the points may not measure up.
Our Pick – Steven Jackson/Rams – the game of the year in the NFC Weak and they’re going to need Jackson to carry the load. The Niners can give up some big Fantasy points to Running Backs so if you have em’ start em’. I know he only had 81 yards and one td the last time the two teams met but he’s going to get 30 carries on Sunday and at 4.0 yards per crack that means 20 points in the bank plus any TD as icing.

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Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Championship/Superbowl week for leagues - Homework begins today

Firstly, if you are viewing this message with any interest at all other than anger about who is playing this week other than you, then you object of the contempt and congratulations on making the either the semi-finals or Super Bowl. I know you all have been living on the waiver wire for the last couple of days looking to make that one last acquisition that will put you over the top so before we get into some positions make sure you go through the checklist prior to setting your lineups and there are a couple of additions this week:

- Weather – most of east will be in the 20’s so chose accordingly. (watch out for Brady as in New England it will be cold but more over windy as well)

- Teams that are fighting for a playoff spot vs. those with nothing to play for – two things to consider here. They are going the ride the horse that’s getting things done (ie; if you’re considering a back in ‘shared time’ backfield like Tampa Bay, if Blount gets off to a start similar to last week Cadillac Williams may not get as many touches) Also, teams like the Broncos, Redskins, and Bills will be testing talent over the next two weeks

- Injuries – obviously this is first on your list since there are no ‘bye weeks’ left, and if Rogers is cleared to play that changes the dynamic of that game. Arian Foster will also play

- Wavier-wire availability – remember this is “FANTASY” football so there are no friends here, if there is an opportunity to pick up a player off waivers that has a great matchup and can pick you up an extra 7-10 points that can mean the difference between a championship and obscurity, so send him to the practice squad, nothing personal.

Now, let’s do what we can in regards to personnel, but it would behoove us to wait for the injury reports before setting the final lineups. During championship week it’s often not the cornerstones that win or lose the game for you because Peyton, Vick, and Brady are usually going to come through with their 30 points but if you’ve it this far you have first-rounder that’s at the helm and most likely, so does your opponent so they often cancel each other out and what makes the difference are the 2nd, 3rd, and flex spots so let’s look at some possibilities.
Michael Bush has had 40 carries over the last 3 weeks and the Raiders are going up against a bad run defense in the Colts, but he’ll be splitting time with a hot back in Run DMC so don’t look for him to get over 100 Yards for the game but he’ll get the rock inside the 10 so he may get you key points from an RB2 position.
Ben Jarvis-Green-Ellis – The law firm is the quintessential RB2 because he will never get you the 10points for going over the century mark but will be the go to guy inside the 5 to get the ball in the end zone, and in a game with bad, windy, weather for team that throws the ball as much as the Patriots do, the possibility of a PI call that puts them on the 1 or close are good odds for a free 6 points.
LeGarrett Blount – Another back that splits time, but inside the 10 he is going to be the call for the Bucs as they host a Seattle team that is 21st against the run and doesn’t travel well to begin with, going 2-5 on the road.
Let’s start with that and we’ll get to the individual positions and picks next. In the meantime chat live with other Fantasy Football Players in the Fantasy Football Chat Room.



Thursday, December 9, 2010

Second season begins for Fantasy players so make your moves count

Welcome to the next level! If you are taking the time to pay attention to a Fantasy Football Blog that means that you are one of the 25% of Fantasy Football players around the country who have managed to advance to playoffs in your leagues, either squeaking in as the last seed or coming in as the top seed. In either case it’s a new season and you can throw the records out so those of your that were granted a reprieve you should feel lucky, so take advantage of it. If you’re a top two seed (hopefully you play in a league that rewards the top two with 1st round byes) then make sure you don’t lose a season’s worth of work by not preparing properly, and I hope we can help.
Complete Fantasy Stats for Week 13 and projections for Week 14 here.
Quarterbacks –
For you guys who managed to get crafty and pick up some of the second stringers who stepped in and may have saved you over the last couple of weeks but this is the playoffs and you’re not going to get away with it again.
Avoid - Matt Cassel is too dangerous to take a chance on this week even if he does play, how healthy could he be, and even if he does play how well would he play in pain against the top passing D in the NFL?
Fool’s Gold - John Kitna has had the highest percentage increase in ownership among quarterbacks this week as you can sense the desperation and need for change with some Fantasy owners. However this may not be your move. The Eagle’s D may be ranked 17th against the pass but they can bring the heat and will force JK to put it up quicker than he’s used to. Moreover the loss of Dez Bryant will make a huge difference when a Cowboys need a sure 3rd down conversion to keep the drive alive, so they may be short of weapons going into such a big game.
Mamma’s Boys – Jay Cutler Mother nature will not be kind to both Jay Cutler or Tom Brady this weekend as the weather calls for a temperature in the 20’s with wind. Although both Q’s play in cities where the elements are often not conducive to an aerial attack and they still seem to do well, if you have an option to substitute you may want to consider it, particularly in Cutler’s case as his offense does not center around a short passing game.
Sleeper Pick - David Garrard – The Jags have won 4 of 5 and have scores over 24 points in all but one of their last six games so their offense has not been an issue and I love teams that have good run support so the Q’s can pick their spots to throw and MJD should be able to help the Jags control the time of possession. Now it’s not like the Raiders are terrible against the pass (9th and only 206 ypg) but they have allowed 22 TDs through the air this year and 1 rushing TD to a quarterback. The Jags have a lot to play for so look for them to still be going up top even with a lead in 4th.
Next up Running Backs………………………………..



Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Hot tips, sneaky tips, and last minute tactics going into Playoffs

At this time of the Fantasy Season it’s all about getting into the playoffs, after that it really doesn’t matter where you’re seeded (unless you get a bye), as there are a plethora of new options and strategies, so do what you gotta’ do in and that could depend on this week so do your homework. As always matchps are the first thing to look at if you have some option in your starting lineup, and if you’re a club fighting for a playoff spot then you probably do, so put the egos aside and look at how might have (A) big game for you rather than the player who has the name or been good in the past. With that in mind here are some of the matchups we like:

Quarterbacks

Michael Vick – I almost feel stupid putting him in because any MVP candidate is most of the time an automatic start but for those of you that use software programs to determine starters and skip the basics, you could be misled because for the season Vick is 5th among active QB’s in fantasy points for the season and some owners actually still have him on the bench because of last week’s matchup with the Bears, but he is going up against a defense that is 31st in the league against the pass, so look for Vick to put up some good points with his arm this week, give him the start.

Watch out for – Matt Ryan – He may be suffering from ‘Dome’s Disease’ as his numbers are much different on the road than they are in the confines of the dome.

Sleeper – Matt Cassel – going up against the Broncos he’ll put the ball in the air quite a bit, particularly with the screen pass, and the Broncos (20th pass 30th run) are susceptible to both so look for him to have a big day.

Wide Receivers

Stephen Johnson – Enough with the dropped pass drama already. He’ll be looking to redeem himself in a big way and the Vikings (14th against the pass) won’t be easy pickins’ but he simply gets so many opportunities to make plays because he is Kirkpatrick’s boy and the Bills put the ball up much more than the average and will be trying to make things happen as they have nothing to lose.

Watch out for – Larry Fitzgerald – I don’t like Fitz this week just because of the way Derek Anderson is throwing the ball right now, and how bad the offense is playing. True the Rams will give up some real estate but they’re playing much better and I don’t like the Cards on a short week. You probably have better options.

Sleeper – Randy Moss – If Collins plays this could be the make it play of the season for you. A veteran quarterback will know exactly how use Randy and make the most of his big play capabilities. If you need to break out of your average and do something big this may be the play.
Next up Running Backs……………………………………..

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